Evening view from Arakurayama Sengen Park in autumn: red and orange maple leaves in the foreground, the Chureito Pagoda on the right, and snow-dusted Mt. Fuji above Fujiyoshida city in soft dusk light

Japan Fall Foliage Forecast 2026: Live Koyo Tracker

Live Status Board · Autumn

By Nobu · Statuses update automatically from typical historical windows, then switch to field reports and published forecasts in season · Fuji Five Lakes reports are first-hand · Facts re-verified August 14, 2026

Japan’s autumn colours run for nearly three months — from the alpine slopes of Daisetsuzan in mid-September to Kyoto’s temple gardens in early December. This board tracks eleven key regions through the 2026 season. Right now every row runs on typical windows compiled from forecaster spot data and official sources: the first 2026 koyo forecasts are expected in early September, and this page switches to live forecast and field data as they arrive.

Planning a spring trip instead? Track the bloom on the Japan cherry blossom (sakura) tracker.

If your trip is in September, pair this status board with my where to see Japan autumn leaves in September guide — the board tells you what is colouring, that page helps you choose where to actually go.

Autumn leaves status board

Autumn colours across Japan - tracked areas

As of JST

Kagoshima - Kirishima: EXPECTEDOita - Yabakei Gorge: EXPECTEDFukuoka - not tracked on this boardSaga - not tracked on this boardNagasaki - not tracked on this boardKumamoto - not tracked on this boardMiyazaki - Kirishima: EXPECTEDTokushima - not tracked on this boardKagawa - not tracked on this boardEhime - not tracked on this boardKochi - not tracked on this boardShimane - not tracked on this boardYamaguchi - not tracked on this boardTottori - not tracked on this boardHyogo - not tracked on this boardKyoto - Kyoto (Arashiyama / Tofukuji): EXPECTEDFukui - not tracked on this boardIshikawa - Kanazawa / Kenrokuen: EXPECTEDToyama - Japan Alps (Tateyama side): EXPECTEDNiigata - not tracked on this boardYamagata - not tracked on this boardAkita - Hachimantai (Akita side): EXPECTEDAomori - Oirase Gorge: EXPECTEDIwate - Hachimantai (Iwate side): EXPECTEDMiyagi - not tracked on this boardFukushima - not tracked on this boardIbaraki - not tracked on this boardChiba - not tracked on this boardTokyo - Tokyo (Rikugien / Shinjuku Gyoen): EXPECTEDKanagawa - not tracked on this boardShizuoka - not tracked on this boardAichi - not tracked on this boardMie - not tracked on this boardWakayama - not tracked on this boardOsaka - not tracked on this boardOkayama - not tracked on this boardHiroshima - Hiroshima / Miyajima: EXPECTEDHokkaido - Daisetsuzan (Hokkaido alpine): EXPECTED | Sapporo / Jozankei: EXPECTEDGunma - not tracked on this boardNagano - Kamikochi / Japan Alps: EXPECTEDTochigi - Nikko (Irohazaka / Chuzenji): EXPECTEDGifu - Japan Alps (Okuhida side): EXPECTEDShiga - not tracked on this boardSaitama - not tracked on this boardYamanashi - Fuji Five Lakes / Momiji Corridor: EXPECTEDNara - not tracked on this boardOkinawa - not tracked on this board

Colour locates tracked spots by prefecture - it does not describe the whole prefecture. Where several tracked spots share one prefecture, the most advanced status wins the colour; field-reported spots use the In season colour. Grey prefectures are not tracked on this board. The table below is the source of truth.

Region / SpotStatus
Daisetsuzan (Hokkaido alpine)
Japan's first autumn colours
EXPECTED
Typical window: Sep 10 – Oct 10 · typical peak around Sep 25
Sapporo / JozankeiEXPECTED
Typical window: Oct 5 – Oct 31 · typical peak around Oct 15
Tohoku (Oirase / Hachimantai)EXPECTED
Typical window: Oct 10 – Nov 7 · typical peak around Oct 25
Japan Alps / Kamikochi
Karasawa earlier (late Sep)
EXPECTED
Typical window: Oct 1 – Nov 5 · typical peak around Oct 15
Nikko (Irohazaka / Chuzenji)EXPECTED
Typical window: Oct 10 – Nov 10 · typical peak around Oct 25
Fuji Five Lakes / Momiji Corridor
Kawaguchiko Momiji Festival typically Nov
EXPECTED
Typical window: Oct 25 – Nov 25 · typical peak around Nov 10
Kanazawa / KenrokuenEXPECTED
Typical window: Nov 5 – Dec 1 · typical peak around Nov 20
Kyoto (Arashiyama / Tofukuji)EXPECTED
Typical window: Nov 10 – Dec 7 · typical peak around Nov 25
Tokyo (Rikugien / Shinjuku Gyoen)EXPECTED
Typical window: Nov 15 – Dec 10 · typical peak around Nov 28
Hiroshima / MiyajimaEXPECTED
Typical window: Nov 10 – Dec 1 · typical peak around Nov 20
Kyushu (Yabakei / Kirishima)EXPECTED
Typical window: Nov 5 – Dec 5 · typical peak around Nov 20

Statuses derive automatically from long-term typical windows (JMA station averages and verified spot data) unless a field report overrides them. EXPECTED means no forecast or observation exists yet for the year - typical windows only. Fuji Five Lakes sky today (JMA): Cloudy (checked Aug 16, 10:33 JST)

How to read this board. EXPECTED means no forecast or observation exists yet — the dates shown are 30-year typical patterns, and individual years swing a week or more either way. Once the September forecasts land and the season starts, rows flip to APPROACHING and IN SEASON, and the Fuji Five Lakes row carries my own on-the-ground reports from Fujiyoshida.

When the 2026 forecasts arrive

Weathernews and the Japan Weather Association publish the September calls most travellers follow. As of our latest review, neither has released a 2026 forecast yet — here is their 2025 timing, the best guide to when this board goes live:

ForecasterFirst 2025 release (actual)2026 status
WeathernewsSeptember 4, 2025NOT RELEASED — expect early September 2026
Japan Weather Association (tenki.jp)September 18, 2025NOT RELEASED — expect mid-to-late September 2026

The Japan Meteorological Corporation publishes autumn outlooks too. Whichever source lands first, the rows above flip from typical windows to forecast-based statuses within days — check back in the second week of September.

Why leaves turn — and how fast the front falls

Autumn colour is a temperature story. Leaves start turning when overnight lows dip below about 8°C, and the change accelerates once nights hit 5°C. The most vivid years combine three things: crisp cold nights, big day-night temperature swings, and plenty of clear daytime sun. A warm, cloudy autumn mutes the reds; a typhoon at the wrong moment strips slopes bare overnight.

That temperature logic is also why the front moves the way it does. Air cools roughly 0.6°C for every 100 m of elevation, so colour ignites on the high slopes first and walks downhill — at about 2–3 days per 100 m of descent, by the Nagano Local Meteorological Office’s rule of thumb. A mountain with 1,000 m of relief can carry three to four weeks of continuous colour on a single slope. That’s the entire strategy of this board: when your dates are fixed, you don’t chase the calendar, you chase the altitude.

Dates already booked? Find your row

Your datesWhere the colour will be (typical year)One-line reason
Mid–late SeptemberDaisetsuzan (Hokkaido alpine)Japan’s first colours — high slopes turn from mid-September, typical peak around Sep 25
Early OctoberKarasawa Cirque, high AlpsAlpine amphitheatres turn before the valleys
Mid-OctoberSapporo/Jozankei, Kamikochi, HachimantaiThe front reaches the resort valleys — typical peaks Oct 15
Late OctoberNikko, Oirase GorgeIrohazaka and the gorge walks peak around Oct 25
First half of NovemberFuji Five Lakes, Kanazawa, Kyushu highlandsMomiji Corridor typically peaks around Nov 10
Mid–late NovemberKyoto, Tokyo, MiyajimaThe famous temple gardens — typical peaks Nov 20–28
Early DecemberKyoto tail, Tokyo gardensCity gardens hold colour latest — windows run to Dec 7–10

The six bases I’d actually book

Eleven regions on the board, but an autumn trip needs two or three bases at most. These six cover every version of the season, north to south.

Daisetsuzan — where Japan’s autumn starts

Typical window: Sep 10 – Oct 10 · Best for: alpine colour while Tokyo is still in summer

The ropeway from Sounkyo or Asahidake puts you above the first turning slopes in Japan. September here means jackets and thermoses — and some of Japan’s earliest alpine colour before the main autumn crowds arrive. My full timing breakdown: Daisetsuzan in September.

Kamikochi — the Alps’ golden valley

Typical window: Oct 1 – Nov 5 · Best for: larch gold, riverside walks, no car needed

Karasawa’s high cirque burns first (late September), then the colour walks down to the Azusa River valley through October. The bus-only access keeps mornings quiet. Six more highland picks in October autumn gems. Rooms: Kamikochi & Matsumoto stays.

Nikko — the classic, timed right

Typical window: Oct 10 – Nov 10 · Best for: Irohazaka switchbacks, lake-and-waterfall circuits

Chuzenji sits roughly 600–700 m above Nikko town, which means two peaks two weeks apart — lake first, town later. Weekday mornings beat the famous Irohazaka traffic. The quieter valleys next door hold colour even later: Tochigi’s waterfall valleys.

Fuji Five Lakes — autumn on my home turf

Typical window: Oct 25 – Nov 25 · Best for: maple tunnels with Mt. Fuji in the background

The Momiji Corridor on Kawaguchiko’s north shore typically peaks in the first half of November — and the 2026 festival dates are already official (see below). I update the board’s Fuji row from the ground. Where to base: Kawaguchiko vs Fujiyoshida.

Kyoto — the late-November classic

Typical window: Nov 10 – Dec 7 · Best for: temple gardens, evening light-ups

Arashiyama and Tofukuji at peak are worth the crowds; the trick is the calendar, not the map. Mid-to-late November weekends are the tightest hotel market of the Japanese autumn — my booking-order logic is in the Japan booking timeline.

Tokyo — the December safety net

Typical window: Nov 15 – Dec 10 · Best for: late trips, garden colour without leaving the city

Rikugien and Shinjuku Gyoen hold their maples into early December — the season’s longest tail. If your trip lands late, Tokyo is the safest late-season base. Lock your window with the Booking Dates tool.

Official 2026 dates so far

Only officially announced dates or clearly labeled previous-season references appear here — never guesses.

EventDatesStatus
Fuji Kawaguchiko Momiji Festival (Momiji Corridor)Nov 7 – 29, 2026 · light-up until 21:00ANNOUNCED (official, July 2026)
Kyoto temple light-ups (Kiyomizu-dera, Eikando, Chion-in…)2025 reference: mid-Nov – early Dec (e.g. Eikando Nov 15 – Dec 10)2026 NOT ANNOUNCED — typically confirmed Sep–Oct

Planning around the typical windows

The koyo front moves the opposite way to the sakura front: north to south, and mountains before cities. Two practical consequences. First, if your trip is in October, your best colour is in Hokkaido, Tohoku, the Japan Alps and Nikko — Kyoto will still be green. Second, if your trip is in late November, you get the famous Kyoto and Tokyo gardens at their typical peak, and you can skip the mountains entirely.

Hotel pressure follows the same wave: Nikko and Kyoto are the two pinch points, and Kyoto’s mid-to-late November weekends are the single tightest hotel market of the Japanese autumn. If your dates land in those windows, compare Booking.com, Agoda or Trip.com early and choose a refundable rate — one room, with the cancellation deadline saved to your calendar.

Make one reversible move. Pick the region whose typical window matches your dates, then do one thing today: save a refundable room in that base, or if your dates are still loose, put the region’s typical start date in your calendar as a check-in reminder. Both are reversible; both turn “someday” into a date.
If 2026 runs early, late — or a typhoon hits. Warm autumn = peaks usually slide later, though colour can be muted; early cold snap = mountains finish fast. Three recovery moves: arrived too late for the mountains? Drop altitude — the front descends 2–3 days per 100 m, so the valley below is usually still turning. Too early? Ride a ropeway up. Typhoon stripped your spot? Sheltered gorges (Oirase, the Tochigi valleys) and city gardens often fare better than exposed ridgelines — re-route on live reports rather than cancelling.

Want this as a personal checklist? Pick your travel month on the Booking Dates page – it saves on your device and shows the one reversible step for your month.

FAQ

When do the 2026 autumn leaves forecasts come out?

Based on 2025 actual release dates: Weathernews published September 4 and the Japan Weather Association (tenki.jp) September 18. Expect the same rhythm for 2026 — first calls in early September, everyone reporting by month’s end. This board switches from typical windows to forecast data as each release lands.

Where is the best koyo if I visit Japan in October 2026?

Mid-October: Sapporo/Jozankei, Kamikochi and Hachimantai typically peak. Late October: Nikko’s Irohazaka and Oirase Gorge. Kyoto and Tokyo will still be mostly green — their gardens typically peak from mid-November. October trips are mountain trips; November trips are city trips.

How long does peak colour last in one place?

Roughly one to two weeks per spot, a little longer in cool, still autumns. Mountain spots turn and drop faster than city gardens.

How many days do I need in Kyoto to catch the peak?

Kyoto’s typical window runs Nov 10 to Dec 7 with peak around Nov 25, so a 3-day stay in the last two weeks of November gives you a good chance in a typical year. Prefer weekdays — the light-up weekends draw the year’s biggest crowds — and watch this board from mid-November for the live picture.

Is the koyo season more reliable than cherry blossom season?

Somewhat. Autumn colour is driven by cooling temperatures and moves more gradually than the sakura front, and the viewing window per spot is longer. But a typhoon in October can strip leaves early — check the forecast rows here before locking your route.

Nikko or Kyoto — which hotels sell out first?

They peak a month apart, so it’s two separate crunches: Nikko’s tightest stretch is late October (Irohazaka peak weekends), Kyoto’s is mid-to-late November. If you need specific weekends, hold refundable rooms for both early: Kyoto’s November weekends are the harder market overall, but Nikko tightens first because its supply is smaller.

The mountains are past peak — is my trip ruined?

No — drop in altitude. The front descends roughly 2–3 days per 100 m, so when a summit is bare the mid-slopes, valleys and city gardens below are typically still turning, often for weeks. The board’s late rows (Fuji Five Lakes, Kanazawa, Kyoto, Tokyo) exist for exactly this.

Where should I stay for the Fuji Five Lakes koyo?

Kawaguchiko’s north shore puts you walking distance from the Momiji Corridor. Book early for the first half of November — the 2026 festival runs November 7–29 with light-ups until 21:00. Compare Lake Kawaguchiko stays on Booking.com.

What data does this board use?

Out of season: 30-year typical windows compiled from tenki.jp (Japan Weather Association), Weathernews spot data and official tourism sources. In season: the current-year forecasts plus first-hand reports from the Fuji Five Lakes area, each row stamped with its verification date.

Sources

Typical windows compiled August 2026 from tenki.jp koyo pages (Japan Weather Association), Weathernews koyo spot data, Nikko City Tourism Association, Kenrokuen official, Karasawa Hutte and Fujisan.ne.jp. Colour-trigger temperatures (8°C onset, 5°C acceleration) per tenki.jp and Weathernews; elevation descent rate (2–3 days per 100 m) per the Nagano Local Meteorological Office; 2025 forecast release dates from Weathernews and JWA announcements; Fuji Kawaguchiko Momiji Festival 2026 dates (Nov 7–29) from the Fujikawaguchiko tourism office, published July 2026. 2026 forecasts will be added as published.